The Supreme Court could decide the fate of Trump’s tariffs — and with it, nearly $1 trillion in collected duties. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent admitted refunds of this scale would be “terrible for the Treasury,” but a historic windfall for U.S. businesses that paid them.
📈 Markets are bracing for volatility: the S&P 500 could test 6,600 short term, push toward 6,800 medium term, and break above 7,200 long term if refunds fuel corporate profits and consumer demand. But a loss for Trump could also deepen fiscal deficits and pressure U.S. debt.
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