Nikkei 225 Hits Record High as SoftBank Skyrockets 10%: What This Means for Global Investors

by | Sep 11, 2025 | Market News | 0 comments

Introduction

Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged to an all-time high of 44,396.95, boosted by an explosive rally in SoftBank Group (+10%). This rally reflects a convergence of AI momentum, U.S. Fed rate cut hopes, and massive cloud deals that could reshape Asia’s equity landscape. Investors worldwide are now asking: Is this just the beginning of a new Asian bull run?

One of the Best Broker in Europe

European brokers are highlighting Japan as a top opportunity for diversification. Several firms now rank Japanese equities—especially tech-heavy names like SoftBank and Fujikura—among the most attractive international allocations.

Financial Performance

  • Nikkei 225 closed at 44,372.50 (+1.22%).
  • SoftBank Group surged 10% after news of OpenAI’s $300B cloud deal with Oracle, with which SoftBank has direct ties.
  • Energy & Utilities stocks like Mitsui Mining (+5%) and Fujikura (+4%) also boosted the index.

Key Highlights

  • SoftBank’s link to Oracle’s cloud surge is fueling speculation of exponential upside.
  • Kospi (South Korea) also hit record highs, showing regional bullish sentiment.
  • U.S. indices set fresh intraday highs, reflecting global optimism.

Profitability and Valuation

SoftBank’s valuation has historically been tied to its tech investments. The OpenAI-Oracle-Stargate connection introduces a new long-term growth premium, potentially narrowing its discount compared to global peers.

Debt and Leverage

SoftBank’s leveraged structure remains a risk, but the cloud AI boom and global partnerships could strengthen its balance sheet if investments pay off.

Growth Prospects

  • Cloud infrastructure growth (Oracle forecast $18B → $144B in 4 years).
  • Stargate program ($500B initiative backed by Trump, Oracle, SoftBank, OpenAI).
  • Potential AI ecosystem dominance across Asia.

Technical Analysis

  • Nikkei 225: Resistance at 45,000; support at 43,500.
  • SoftBank: Breakout confirmed above 9,500 JPY; next targets → 10,200 JPY (short-term), 12,500 JPY (mid-term), 15,000 JPY (long-term).
  • RSI indicates strong momentum but nearing overbought zones.

Potential Catalysts

  • Fed’s rate cut decision next week.
  • Expansion of AI and cloud deals.
  • Political stability in Japan vs. turmoil in France and the EU.

Leadership and Strategic Direction

Masayoshi Son continues to double down on AI, aligning with Larry Ellison (Oracle) and Sam Altman (OpenAI). His vision positions SoftBank at the center of the AI revolution.

Impact of Macroeconomic Factors

  • Cooling U.S. inflation supports global equities.
  • Japan benefits from a relatively weaker yen, boosting export-driven companies.
  • Asia-Pacific markets remain robust, signaling sustained foreign capital inflows.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global AI and cloud TAM is projected to exceed $1 trillion by 2030. SoftBank’s early positioning could allow it to capture significant market share through Stargate and related initiatives.

Market Sentiment and Engagement

Investor sentiment is highly bullish, with record inflows into Japanese equity ETFs. Analysts highlight Japan as the “next big growth hub” after the U.S. AI boom.

Conclusions, Target Price Objectives, and Stop Losses

  • SoftBank (9984.T)
    • Short-term Target: 10,200 JPY
    • Mid-term Target: 12,500 JPY
    • Long-term Target: 15,000 JPY+
    • Suggested Stop Loss: 8,800 JPY
  • Nikkei 225
    • Short-term Target: 45,000
    • Mid-term Target: 47,500
    • Long-term Target: 50,000+

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This analysis serves as information only and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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